Ships
20,548tracked live
AIS positions, daily transits through 28 straits, sanctioned and dark vessels.
Live
Coming soonEarly access opens 25 December 2026
Thousands of tools chart the market. Baldur reads the world that moves it.
News, conflicts, ships, flights and live television, read by AI the moment they happen and joined to the market data. So you decide with the whole picture, whether you trade the day or invest for years.
45Days
03Hours
38Minutes
41Seconds
Opens 25 December 2026, 00:00 UTC
The world layer runs on ARGOS ATLAS
Market flowS&P 500, futures, FX and crypto▲ 239 bullish▼ 261 bearish15:55 ETLIVE
The world, live
- Energy+1.8%
- Materials+0.9%
- Utilities+0.5%
- Industrials+0.3%
- Financials+0.2%
- Health care+0.1%
- Real estate-0.2%
- Communication-0.3%
- Consumer-0.4%
- Technology-0.9%
Strength against a normal day
09:3011:0012:3014:0015:30NOW
Strongest
01
BRENTWorld
+2.14%2.4×
02
XLEFlow
+1.91%2.1×
03
NVDAOB
+1.12%1.8×
04
COPPERWorld
+1.62%1.7×
05
GOLDML
+0.62%1.3×
Weakest
01
JETSWorld
-1.12%1.9×
02
EURUSDLiq
-0.38%1.4×
03
SOXWorld
-1.24%1.3×
04
TSLASent
-0.83%1.1×
World
The blind spot
Thousands of tools. None of them sees the world.
Charts in one app, a screener in another, a news feed in a third, backtests in a spreadsheet. They all show the price after it moved. None of them watches what moves it: a strait that empties, an airspace that closes, a strike at a mine, the story every channel is telling.
Every other tool
- Prices and charts, but not why they moved.
- A news feed you have to read, judge and link to an asset yourself.
- Screeners, backtests and news in apps that never talk to each other.
- The physical world nowhere: no ships, no flights, no live TV.
Baldur Finance
- The physical world, live: news, conflicts, ships through 28 straits, the aircraft aloft and 65 TV channels.
- An AI that reads each event as it happens and says which assets it touches, and which way.
- Joined to the market data: order flow, structure, odds, scores and the macro calendar.
- One screen for the day trade and for the ten-year investment, every number with its source.
What Baldur watches
Every source, named. All of it, live.
Baldur reads the live layer of ARGOS ATLAS (the map of the physical world it is built on) and the markets, around the clock. The numbers on these cards come from them, right now.
Aircraft
17,000aloft right now
Every transponder heard, planes holding over airports, closed airspace, sanctioned aircraft.
Live
Live TV
65news channels
Read as stills, never streamed: the headline of each channel and the story that leads the world.
Every 10 min
Conflict and OSINT
1,690events, last 90 days
Strikes, drones, explosions and protests, each on its point of the map.
Hourly
News
300+events on the map today
Wires and outlets, scored by severity and placed where they happen.
Minutes
Sanctions
1,969vessels flagged
Vessels and aircraft on four lists, and what changed on each of them today.
Daily
Energy and ports
1,078ports and terminals
Plants, pipelines, refineries, crude stocks and the ports they feed.
Daily
Macro
157countries
The economic calendar with its consensus, and the rates, inflation and growth of every economy.
As released
Options flow
OPRAthe US options tape
The biggest prints, open interest by strike and implied volatility.
Intraday
Markets
15,583financial assets indexed
Stocks, indices, futures, currencies and crypto, with the companies pinned to the map.
Live or delayed, labelled
Updated 20:20 UTCOpen the live map
How the AI works
Every event, read the moment it happens.
When something happens, Baldur does in seconds what takes an analyst an hour: it reads it, links it to the assets it moves, prices what comes next and puts it on your screen.
- 01
Detected
A source reports it: a ship count, a story on television, an alert, a wire.
AIS · ARGOS ATLAS
Tanker transits through Hormuz 18% under normal
- 02
Read by AI
Claude reads it with the figures around it and writes what happened and why it matters for markets.
Less crude reaches the market: upward pressure on Brent, higher fuel costs for airlines.
Bullish for oil
- 03
Linked
Each asset it touches, with the direction the evidence points to.
BRENT +2.14%XLE +1.91%JETS -1.12%
- 04
Priced
The odds of what comes next, from the model and from the history of similar events.
- Transits back to normal within 7 days41%
- Brent above $80 at Friday's close58%
- 05
On your screen
In the signals, the briefs, the alerts and on every chart it moved.
SignalBriefAlertChart
Events, priced
Every event on the map, with its odds.
When something happens in the world, Baldur puts it on its map with the ships, flights and plants involved, the markets that react and the odds of what comes next.
Strait of HormuzAIS·HRMLIVE
Tanker transits 18% below normal
Strait of Hormuz
- 82
- transits today normal: 100
- 23
- tankers waiting at anchor
- 4
- with their AIS off
What comes nextsince the event
- Transits back to normal within 7 days41%▼6
- Brent above $80 at Friday's close58%▲9
- Naval escort announced this week27%▲4
Odds from Baldur's model, updated every minute.
Markets moving
BRENT +2.14%WTI +1.83%FRO +3.20%XLE +1.91%
Also on the map right now
Exercise areas declared around the island
Taiwan Strait
- Drills last longer than 72 hours35%▲8
- Shipping leaves the strait this week18%▲3
SOX -1.24%TSM -2.10%TWD -0.40%
Airspace closed: 140 flights rerouted
Iraqi airspace
- Airspace reopens within 48 hours52%▼7
- Another closure in the region this week23%▲5
JETS -1.12%JET FUEL +2.40%
Strike called at a large copper mine
Antofagasta, Chile
- Deal reached before the strike starts47%▼11
- Copper above $5.20/lb this week39%▲6
COPPER +1.62%FCX +3.20%CLP -0.60%
Unplanned outage at a gas processing plant
North Sea, Norway
- Plant back online within 5 days64%▲12
- TTF above €40/MWh on Friday44%▲9
TTF +4.81%NBP +3.90%
Product preview. Illustrative data.
From the event to the price
See where the move came from.
Order blocks, fair value gaps and liquidity drawn for you, the forecast as a range, and the physical world pinned to the timeline. Then the map shows where it started.
Brent crude, 15 min78.20Order blockFVGLiquidityEMA 20Forecast
- 1A bullish order block forms where buyers absorbed the last sell-off.
- 2World layer: tanker transits through Hormuz drop 18%. Price gaps up and leaves a fair value gap.
- 3Liquidity above the highs is swept and rejected. The forecast cone sets the range for the next sessions.
Strait of Hormuz, the last 24 hoursLIVE
24 h· ships· tankers· under way
Signals
What the evidence says, asset by asset.
Baldur adds up the metrics (strength, structure, volume, odds) and the AI reading of the news and of what every TV channel is telling, and turns them into buy and sell opportunities with their levels. In the terminal they update every second.
Buy opportunityBRENTBrent crude · EnergyConviction78.42+2.14%Open the full analysisClose
Why
- WorldTanker transits through Hormuz 18% under normal, 23 tankers waiting at anchor
- Live TV9 of 65 news channels lead with the Gulf; the AI reads it as bullish for oil
- Order blockThe bullish order block at 76.62 to 76.98 held on the retest
- StrengthStrength 2.4 times a normal day, volume 1.8 times its average
- Entry zone
- 76.62 - 76.98
- Invalidation
- 75.90
- Target 1
- 79.25
- Target 2
- 80.40
- Risk to reward
- 1:2.6
14:32 UTC · Updated every second in the terminal
Sell opportunityJETSAirlines ETF · TransportConviction24.18-1.12%Open the full analysisClose
Why
- WorldIraqi airspace closed: 140 flights rerouted around it
- NewsTwo carriers suspend Gulf routes; the AI reads higher costs for airlines
- LiquiditySwept the morning high at 24.60 and closed back under it
- StrengthStrength 1.9 times a normal day, to the downside
- Entry zone
- 24.42 - 24.55
- Invalidation
- 24.86
- Target 1
- 23.90
- Target 2
- 23.42
- Risk to reward
- 1:2.3
14:29 UTC · Updated every second in the terminal
Buy opportunityCOPPERCopper · MetalsConviction5.124+1.62%Open the full analysisClose
Why
- WorldStrike called at a large copper mine in Antofagasta
- NewsThe union votes on Thursday; supply at risk, the AI reads
- TrendAbove its 50-day average for 12 sessions in a row
- Odds39% odds of copper above $5.20/lb this week
- Entry zone
- 5.062 - 5.091
- Invalidation
- 5.012
- Target 1
- 5.198
- Target 2
- 5.276
- Risk to reward
- 1:2.1
14:18 UTC · Updated every second in the terminal
DisclaimerNot investment advice. Signals are an analysis made from metrics and from AI reading of news and live television. They describe what the evidence shows at a given moment; they do not know your situation and they can be wrong. Decisions, and their risk, are yours.
How it is made: the metrics of the asset (strength against its normal day, volume, trend, structure) and the AI reading of the news and of live TV each add points to a conviction from 0 to 100; the levels come from the chart itself (order blocks, liquidity and the asset's daily range). Every signal shows its time, its method and its sources.
Product preview. Illustrative data.
For traders
See who is pushing, and why.
The strength board ranks the cleanest moves of the day against each asset's normal, each with its driver in one line: an order block, a sweep, an options print or an event in the world. The picks add the zone, the levels and the volume profile.
- Bullish and bearish boards, recalculated every minute
- The driver of each move, in one line
- The formula published, nothing hidden
Strength boardLIVE
Bullish
- BRENTWorld
Hormuz transits 18% under normal
2.4× - XLEOptions flow
Calls at 4.6 times their average
2.1× - NVDAOrder block
Bullish order block held at 182.40
1.8× - COPPERWorld
Strike called at a large mine
1.7× - GOLDForecast
5-day forecast revised up
1.3×
Bearish
- JETSWorld
Airspace closed, 140 flights rerouted
1.9× - EURUSDLiquidity
Asian high swept and rejected
1.4× - SOXWorld
Advisory near a chip supply route
1.3× - TSLASentiment
Mentions up 3.4 times, tone negative
1.1×
Strength: the day's one-way move divided by the asset's average daily move over 50 sessions. Zero when the move is not clean.
PicksLIVE
BullishConviction
+2.14%
78.42 +1.64
- Zone
- 76.62 - 76.98
- Support
- 77.10
- Resistance
- 79.25
- Risk to reward
- 1:3.2
WorldHormuz transits 18% under normal
BullishConviction
+1.12%
182.64 +2.02
- Zone
- 181.90 - 182.40
- Support
- 181.20
- Resistance
- 186.10
- Risk to reward
- 1:2.6
Order blockRetest of the 182.40 order block held twice
BearishConviction
-1.12%
24.18 -0.27
- Zone
- 24.42 - 24.55
- Support
- 23.90
- Resistance
- 24.60
- Risk to reward
- 1:2.9
WorldAirspace closed, 140 flights rerouted
Market X-Ray▲ 239 advancing▼ 261 declining
Leading: Energy +1.8%Lagging: Technology -1.0%Each dot is a stock of the S&P 500, placed at its move today.
For investors
Years of data, and the world they lived through.
Every stock scored on momentum, quality, value, growth, risk, sentiment and its exposure to the world; backtests and forecasts on decades of prices; the macro of 157 countries; and how markets reacted the last times something similar happened.
S&P 500 heatmapSized by market cap, coloured by today's move.LIVE
Test it before you trade it.
BacktestS&P 500, 2018 to 2026
Order-block retest, long only
StrategyBenchmarkDrawdown
- CAGR
- 9.4%
- Sharpe
- 1.08
- Max drawdown
- -10.4%
- Win rate
- 54%
- Trades
- 2,318
ForecastGOLD, next 5 sessions
LSTMXGBoostCatBoostRandom forest
Range 4,092 to 4,240Walk-forward validated, out of sample. A range, not a promise.
What the model weighs
- Hormuz transits (world layer)0.21
- Dollar index0.15
- RSI 140.11
- Tension index (world layer)0.10
- 5-day momentum0.09
- Volume, z-score0.07
Correlations60 sessions
Daily moves of markets against two signals of the world layer: Hormuz transits and the global tension index.
Options flowXLE, 19 Dec
- Put/call
- 0.71
- IV rank
- 64
- Calls today
- 4.6×
| Strike | IV | Delta | Gamma | Theta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 24.1 | 0.71 | 0.041 | -0.031 |
| 92 | 23.4 | 0.58 | 0.049 | -0.034 |
| 94 | 22.9 | 0.44 | 0.052 | -0.035 |
| 96 | 22.6 | 0.31 | 0.047 | -0.032 |
Economic calendarToday, UTC
| Time | Event | Consensus | Prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US CPI, year on year | 2.9% | 3.0% | |
| 12:30 | US core CPI, month on month | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14:00 | Fed speaker | |||
| 15:30 | EIA crude inventories | -1.2M | +0.8M | |
| 18:00 | 10-year note auction | 4.19% | 4.22% | |
| 19:00 | FOMC minutes | |||
| 23:50 | Japan GDP, quarter on quarter | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| Thu 07:00 | UK GDP, month on month | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| Thu 12:30 | US jobless claims | 221K | 218K |
Data to take with youCSV
- US equitiesdaily and 1-minute bars
CSV
- Optionschains, open interest and the largest trades
CSV
- Forex and cryptobars from one minute to one month
CSV
- Futurescontinuous contracts
CSV
- Macro and energyindicators by country, crude stocks and flows
CSV
- Chokepoints, ports and world eventsfrom ARGOS ATLAS, daily since 2019
CSV
Every table and every chart of the terminal downloads as CSV, the world layer included.
Hormuz: tanker transits against Brent90 days
90-day averageBrent
Daily transits (bars, red when 15% under their 90-day average) and Brent (line).
Event study: Brent after Hormuz transits fell 15% or more14 past cases
Sessions after the event
Each faint line is a past case, the bright line the average and the band the middle half. Average after 10 sessions: +2.5%.
Product preview. Illustrative data.
The terminal
Everything on one screen.
Index pulse and market hours, your watchlist, charts with order blocks and forecasts, the Market X-Ray, the world layer and one feed of signals from every engine.
BALDURTERMINAL
MarketsChartsOrder flowLabOptionsWorld
Ctrl KSearch tickers, ports, events
LIVE
S&P 5006,812.4+0.42%Nasdaq 10025,104.7+0.61%Euro Stoxx 505,712.3-0.12%FTSE 1009,746.1+0.08%Nikkei 22549,880+0.95%VIX15.8-3.10%
NYSEcloses in 3h 28mLSEcloses in 1h 12mTSEopens in 11h 50m
Watchlist11 assets
SPXS&P 500
6,812.4+0.42%
NVDANvidia
182.64+1.12%
TSLATesla
428.1-0.83%
XLEEnergy ETF
93.27+1.91%
BRENTBrent crude
78.42+2.14%
TTFEU natural gas
38.20+4.81%
GOLDGold spot
4,112.5+0.62%
COPPERCopper
5.124+1.62%
EURUSDEuro / Dollar
1.1642-0.38%
US10YUS 10-year yield
4.182+0.31%
BTCBitcoin
104,250+0.94%
Brent crude, 15 min77.34 +2.14%EMA 20VWAPOrder blocksFVGLiquidityForecast
Market X-Ray, S&P 500▲ 239 ▼ 261
World layer12 events linked to your watchlist
SignalsAll engines
Strait of Hormuz
Tanker transits 18% below their 7-day average
BRENT +2.14%WTI +1.83%
NVDA, 15 min
Retest of a bullish order block at 182.40 holds
NVDA +1.12%
EURUSD, 5 min
Asian-session high swept, then rejected
EURUSD -0.38%
GOLD, 5 days
Forecast revised up to +1.3%
GOLD +0.62%
XLE options
Call volume 4.6 times its 20-day average
XLE +1.91%
Antofagasta, Chile
Labor strike announced at a large copper mine
COPPER +1.62%
United States
CPI in 30 minutes: consensus 2.9% year on year
US10Y +0.31%DXY +0.12%
North Sea, Norway
Unplanned outage at a gas processing plant
TTF +4.81%
TSLA on X
Mentions up 3.4 times in an hour, tone negative
TSLA -0.83%
BTC, 1 hour
Bearish order block rejects at 106,200
BTC -0.41%
Gulf of Oman
Sanctioned tanker loitering near a terminal
BRENT +0.41%
Synced with ARGOS ATLAS
SPX 6,812.4 +0.42%NVDA 182.64 +1.12%TSLA 428.1 -0.83%XLE 93.27 +1.91%BRENT 78.42 +2.14%TTF 38.20 +4.81%GOLD 4,112.5 +0.62%COPPER 5.124 +1.62%EURUSD 1.1642 -0.38%US10Y 4.182 +0.31%BTC 104,250 +0.94%SPX 6,812.4 +0.42%NVDA 182.64 +1.12%TSLA 428.1 -0.83%XLE 93.27 +1.91%BRENT 78.42 +2.14%TTF 38.20 +4.81%GOLD 4,112.5 +0.62%COPPER 5.124 +1.62%EURUSD 1.1642 -0.38%US10Y 4.182 +0.31%BTC 104,250 +0.94%
The world layer
Every ship, every strait, against its normal.
The physical world the signals come from, on its own maps: a tanker that turns back before a strait, and each strait's transits against their 90-day average.
Every ship, with what it carries and what it moves
Bab el-MandebAIS·BABLIVE
Crude tanker, VLCC
IMO 9••••42 · MMSI 636••••18 · Liberia
Turned back 40 nm before the strait, two hours after an attack was reported 70 nm to the north.
- Cargo
- Crude, about 2 M barrels
- From
- Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia
- To
- Rotterdam
- Route
- Suez, now the Cape of Good Hope
- Arrival
- 12 days later
- Speed
- 12.4 kn
- Heading
- 076°
- Area
- Gulf of Aden
Exposure
BRENT +2.14%FRO +3.20%TD3C +11.00%
Chokepoints, against their normal
Strait of Hormuz
Disrupted82 transits per day
-18% vs 90-day average
BRENTLNGTANKERS
Bab el-Mandeb
Disrupted31 transits per day
-46% vs 90-day average
FREIGHTINSURERS
Suez Canal
Watch44 transits per day
-22% vs 90-day average
FREIGHTEU IMPORTS
Strait of Malacca
Normal233 transits per day
+2% vs 90-day average
LNGSOX
Panama Canal
Watch32 transits per day
-9% vs 90-day average
GRAINSLPG
Bosporus
Normal118 transits per day
-4% vs 90-day average
WHEATCRUDE
Product preview. Illustrative data.
Briefs and Ask Baldur
Ask anything. Get an answer you can see.
A brief before every open: the futures, the levels to watch, what happened overnight in the physical world and the calendar, each claim with its source. And Ask Baldur answers any question about markets or the world with a headline, the key figures, the assets it touches and the sources it used.
Baldur briefToday, 06:00 UTC
Energy leads the open: Hormuz flows thin, gas outage in Norway, CPI at 12:30
Before the open
- S&P 500 fut.+0.32%
- Nasdaq fut.+0.48%
- BRENT+2.14%
- TTF+4.81%
Levels to watch
- NVDA: bullish order block at 182.40 held twice
- EURUSD: liquidity resting above 1.1680
- BRENT: fair value gap open from 77.10 to 77.45
Overnight in the physical world
- Tanker transits through Hormuz at 82, 18% under the 7-day average.
- Unplanned outage at a North Sea gas plant, restart not given.
Calendar
- 12:30 UTC, US CPI (consensus 2.9%)
- 15:30 UTC, EIA crude inventories
Sources: exchange data, ship positions, flight tracks, live TV, operator notices, OSINT
Ask BaldurAI
Why is oil up today, and what could stop it?
Reading 9 sources
Bullish, moderate
Brent leads on thinner Gulf flows
- Hormuz transits
- -18%
- Brent
- +2.14%
- Tankers waiting
- 23
Tanker transits through Hormuz are 18% under normal and 23 tankers wait at anchor. Since 2019, nine in ten episodes like this were back to normal within 30 days, so the premium tends to fade unless an escort or a closure follows.
BRENT +2.14%XLE +1.91%JETS -1.12%
Sources usedARGOS ATLAS · AISLive TV · 9 channelsOdds modelMarket data
09:41
Alerts
- Order block1 min
NVDA touched your 182.40 zone
- World2 min
Three tankers left the Ras Tanura anchorage
- Live TV4 min
Nine channels now lead with the Gulf
- Price5 min
BRENT crossed 78.00
- Liquidity9 min
EURUSD swept the Asian high
Alerts on your levels and on the world.
A price, an order block, a liquidity sweep, a strait that empties or a story every channel picks up: Baldur tells you the moment it happens.
Coverage
Markets on one side. The real world on the other.
Markets
- Stocks and ETFs
- Indices
- Options
- Futures
- Forex
- Crypto
- Commodities
- Bonds and rates
- Macro series
- Company filings
The real world, from ARGOS ATLAS
- Conflict and OSINT
- Civil and military flights
- Ships and their routes
- Sanctioned vessels and aircraft
- Ports and terminals
- Power plants and pipelines
- Crude stocks
- 65 live TV news channels
- Fires seen from space
- 200,000+ public cameras
Synced with argosatlas.com: the same live layer, in a terminal built for markets.
How fresh is each layer
- Prices
- Live or delayed, labelled on every quote
- Flights
- Live
- Ships
- Live from AIS, strongest near the coast
- Live TV
- A still of each channel every 10 minutes
- Conflict and OSINT
- Hourly to every two hours
- Company filings
- Hourly on weekdays
- Risk indices
- Hourly
- Chokepoints, ports and sanctions
- Daily
Every number in the terminal says how old it is.
FAQ
Questions
What is Baldur Finance?
A market terminal that reads the world. It follows news, conflicts, ships, flights and live television, has AI read each event the moment it happens and joins it to the market data: prices, order flow, scores, odds and the macro calendar.
Where does the data come from?
The physical world comes from ARGOS ATLAS, the live map Baldur is built on: ships by their AIS, aircraft by their transponders, conflict and OSINT events, energy infrastructure, sanctions lists and 65 TV news channels read as stills. Market data comes from exchanges and data providers. Every number in the terminal names its source and its age.
How does the AI work?
The AI is Claude, by Anthropic, reached through the Thalos network. It does not browse and does not invent figures: it reads the data Baldur hands it (the event, the prices, the odds) and answers in a fixed format that the terminal checks before showing it.
Who is it for?
For traders who want to know why something moves before the crowd does, and for investors who want the world their companies live in on the same screen as their numbers.
When does it open?
Early access opens on 25 December 2026 at 00:00 UTC, when the countdown on this page reaches zero.
Are the signals investment advice?
No. Signals, scores and odds are an analysis made from metrics and from AI reading of news and live television. They describe what the evidence shows; they do not know your situation and they can be wrong. Decisions, and their risk, stay with you.
How is it connected to ARGOS ATLAS?
ARGOS ATLAS is the live map of the physical world: cameras, flights, ships, conflict and infrastructure. Baldur Finance reads the same layer, synced with argosatlas.com, and adds the market side.
The world does not wait for the close.
Early access opens 25 December 2026.
45Days
03Hours
38Minutes
41Seconds